Elon Musk was one of the founders of OpenAI but for different reasons, he abandoned the project, considering that its development was harmful to humanity. During an interview with Nicolai Tangen, executive director of Norges Bank Investment Management, the tycoon made a worrying prediction.
Musk’s extensive knowledge in the matter – he created xAI a few months ago – motivated a gloomy prophecy about the future of this advance. According to the founder of SpaceX, the capacity of AI models will surpass human intelligence at end of 2025.
Furthermore, the magnate predicted that an AGI or artificial general intelligence, Will not take long a lot to come. If generative AI already scares many, AGI multiplies that fear exponentially.
“I think we will have an AI that will be smarter than any human being probably by the end of next year. AI is the most advanced technology I have seen. Barely a week goes by without some new announcement,” Musk said.
In turn, he highlighted the amount of hardware dedicated to AI. “When you combine the hardware that is available with all the advances in software and look at that curve, seems crazy“.
Musk has already launched other prophecies that are still waiting to mature. He has been promising for years that Teslas could achieve full autonomous driving and also the arrival of man to Mars. Although he has made progress on both goals, achieving them seems still far out of reach for him.
The bet of a free AI
The new Grok.Elon Musk’s forecast coincides with that of Jensen Huang, head of NVIDIA, who believes that AI will surpass human intelligence in five years.
The graphics card manufacturer played a decisive role in the development of the IAG thanks to its chips. At the same time, demand for dedicated hardware caused a shortage that slowed the momentum of OpenAI and other companies.
During the interview, he took the opportunity to talk about the development of Grok, his artificial intelligence model.
The manager said that the only limiting factor at this time is training the second version of Grok that will arrive next May. Musk went further and anticipated that will outperform GPT-4 once it is available.
“We’re trying to get enough GPUs to train it fast enough to show it in May. Which I think will probably happen. The next step would be Grok 3, which would be, I guess, comparable to GPT-5 or higher.”
At the time, it announced that it will offer Grok to all X Premium subscribers. The idea of opening it to more people would be part of a strategy to boost subscriptions on its social network.
At the moment, X’s AI is limited by country and is offered to those who pay for the most expensive plan (X Premium+).
Another point he spoke about was AI security, one of the key issues for the expansion of this system. One of the pillars of security is truth and warns that, if an AI is not programmed that is as truthful as possible, it will be even more complicated to handle.
